Octave Specialty Valuation

OSG Stock  USD 5.86  0.08  1.38%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Octave Specialty holds a recent Real Value of $6.66 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $5.86. Our model determines the value of Octave Specialty from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.0576, current valuation of 328.96 M, and Shares Owned By Institutions of 89.66 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Octave Specialty's valuation include:
Price Book
0.4514
Enterprise Value
329 M
Price Sales
1.6691
Forward PE
12.4224
Enterprise Value Revenue
1.3183
Undervalued
Today
5.86
Please note that Octave Specialty's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Octave Specialty is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Octave Specialty's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Octave stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Octave Specialty Group. Since Octave Specialty is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Octave Stock. However, Octave Specialty's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  5.86 Real  6.66 Hype  5.66
The real value of Octave Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Octave Specialty Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Octave Specialty's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Octave Specialty's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
6.66
Real Value
8.90
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Octave Specialty Group helps investors to forecast how Octave stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Octave Specialty more accurately as focusing exclusively on Octave Specialty's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.21-0.2-0.17
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.425.667.90
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Octave Specialty, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Octave Specialty Cash

58.89 Million

Octave Revenue by Product

Octave Specialty Total Value Analysis

Octave Specialty Group is now projected to have company total value of 328.96 M with market capitalization of 611.54 M, debt of 150 M, and cash on hands of 29.61 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Octave Specialty fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
328.96 M
611.54 M
150 M
29.61 M

Octave Specialty Investor Information

About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.45. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Octave Specialty recorded a loss per share of 0.98. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. The firm had 1:6 split on the 13th of June 2016. Based on the key measurements obtained from Octave Specialty's financial statements, Octave Specialty Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

Octave Specialty Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The current return on assets of Octave implies not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Octave Specialty Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Octave Specialty's financial statements, Octave Specialty Group may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Octave Specialty's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1989-09-30
Previous Quarter
-72.7 M
Current Value
-112.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
549.7 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Octave Specialty's Gross Profit is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Octave Specialty's current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.73, while Pretax Profit Margin is forecasted to increase to (0.28).
For Octave Specialty profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Octave Specialty to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Octave Specialty utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Octave Specialty's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Octave Specialty over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Octave Specialty Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Octave Specialty's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Octave Specialty's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Octave Specialty Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Octave Specialty is projected to generate -0.2 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Octave Specialty earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Octave Specialty EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Octave Specialty's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Octave Specialty, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Octave Specialty Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Octave Specialty is $611.54 Million. The majority of Octave Specialty Group outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Octave Specialty to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Octave Specialty. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Octave Specialty as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the company is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

Octave Specialty Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 235.81 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (58.92 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 147.31 M.

Octave Specialty Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Octave Specialty's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Octave Specialty and how it compares across the competition.

About Octave Specialty Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Octave Specialty's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Octave Specialty. We calculate exposure to Octave Specialty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Octave Specialty's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit88.8 M133.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.29)(0.28)
Operating Profit Margin(0.29)(0.28)
Net Loss(2.71)(2.58)
Gross Profit Margin 0.48  0.73 
Octave Specialty's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Octave Specialty's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Octave Specialty can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Octave Specialty represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Octave, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Octave Specialty Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Please note that Octave Specialty has scaled down on payment of dividends at this time. The current Retained Earnings is estimated to decrease to about 566.5 M. The Octave Specialty's current Earnings Yield is estimated to increase to -1.02
There are various types of dividends Octave Specialty can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Octave shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Octave Specialty Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Octave pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Octave Specialty by the value of the dividends paid out.

Octave Specialty Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Octave Specialty does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47 M
Forward Price Earnings12.4224

Octave Specialty Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Octave Specialty Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Octave we look at many different elements of the entity such as Octave's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Octave Specialty, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Octave Specialty's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Octave Specialty's worth.

Complementary Tools for Octave Stock analysis

When running Octave Specialty's price analysis, check to measure Octave Specialty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Octave Specialty is operating at the current time. Most of Octave Specialty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Octave Specialty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Octave Specialty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Octave Specialty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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